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musefan wrote: my point being there will never be enough jobs for everyone, I disagree.
There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
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more repairmen need as more machine is used
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Not really... 10 machines that do the job of 100 people only needs 1 repair man
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more and more people not having baby but have ... for fun than procreate.
We need quality people not more people.
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yeah, like I said before, population control is required
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Not well thought out. Software (and equipment, for that matter) tend to make jobs people do obsolete. But remember to take into account the jobs created with the same technology.
Blacksmith's put out of work by cars - enter the garage mechanic.
Wave-solders do an entire circuit-board's soldering in the blink of an eye - but the low cost electronics put electronics into the hands of the masses that could otherwise never afford it.
No more TV repair men, per se, but we do have the PC repairman, instead.
The world keeps rolling along as it did, before.
Simply reduce work hours and more people can have jobs - and the others, with more time off, can enjoy the fruits of the technology.
"The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | "As far as we know, our computer has never had an undetected error." - Weisert | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
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That seems to be a common argument, but I think it blinds most people to what is really true.
If a machine replaces 10 people, it doesn't then create 10 jobs to maintain that machine. In fact, 1 single repair man could take care of tens or hundreds of machines.
So... 10 machines put 100 people out of work, but only create - lets say - 5 jobs max. That's 95 people surplus to requirements.
I think you will find that the past changes you have mentioned aren't sufficient enough to make the problem obvious, or even important. It's also a convenient argument to make people less worried. If people don't see a problem, then they don't worry, but doesn't mean there isn't a problem.
Most people don't really care for the world that's left behind when they are gone.
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First of all, in case you haven't noticed, the following has occurred in the industrialized countries of the world: people work fewer hours and have more and better food to eat than in those places who have kept up employment (by your standards) with menial jobs. They, basically, live a life of subsistence: and leisure time is not even a thought.
And, as for your odd ration of 10 people lose jobs and are replace by one - that's very 0th order thinking. Consider the number of people (back to the horses vs. cars) are employed not only in repairing the cars (instead of the horseshoes) but building them, feeding them their fuel, and all of the subordinate industries employed millions upon millions.
This works both ways (I'm not ignoring that) as demand for some items will lesson. Overall, there's a simple net improvement that results from industrialization. You wouldn't be the first to think that way: click[^]
"The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | "As far as we know, our computer has never had an undetected error." - Weisert | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you are seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
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A dumb robot could take over my job, it need not be an intelligent one.
Remember that episode of The Simpsons where Homer leaves the nodding bird in charge? That'd do it I reckon
Some men are born mediocre, some men achieve mediocrity, and some men have mediocrity thrust upon them.
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... but this will never happen, at least not in my lifetime.
There are already a lot of highly configurable systems, but they all fail when reality (or a messed up client/business) strikes and a huge amount of customization is needed.
I still consider Solutions Design and Development as an art, and art is not possible to reproduce with artificial intelligence, at leat not yet :p
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I thought you all knew that?
Bad command or file name. Bad, bad command! Sit! Stay! Staaaay...
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I didn't know you were a robot overlord.
I was thinking you were just a bot due to the huge quantity of messages coming out from your account
M.D.V.
If something has a solution... Why do we have to worry about?. If it has no solution... For what reason do we have to worry about?
Help me to understand what I'm saying, and I'll explain it better to you
Rating helpful answers is nice, but saying thanks can be even nicer.
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EMP release
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Faraday cage and optical processors!
Bad command or file name. Bad, bad command! Sit! Stay! Staaaay...
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You win
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I do embedded for a job. Computers don't know anything yet until I give them commands. It's the boys higher up that might experience some problems.
"Program testing can be used to show the presence of bugs, but never to show their absence."
<< please vote!! >></div>
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R. Erasmus wrote: Computers don't know anything yet until I give them commands. Exactly. They are the dumbest things in the world. They have no ability to judge or think for themselves. The only do exactly what they are told, nothing more and nothing less. They have 0 intelligence and yet people are worried that 0 intelligence will somehow turn into intelligence greater than their own.
There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
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Uhm...
I'm not trolling but what about Trump.... 0 intelligence and possible "ruler" of the biggest nation on the planet...
So if he can do it, why couldn't a machine
Who the f*** is General Failure, and why is he reading my harddisk?
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Phil.Benson wrote: I'm not trolling
Phil.Benson wrote: Trump.... 0 intelligence
Ya, clearly you're not.
There are only 10 types of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
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Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that they won't take over peoples jobs, I mean that is already happening. I'm just saying that I don't think it will take over my job seeing as I work when they are still dumb.
"Program testing can be used to show the presence of bugs, but never to show their absence."
<< please vote!! >></div>
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Maybe you're right. I might be a little naive. I do however think that embedded would not be at risk during my lifetime. Unless of course if intelligent machines makes big advantages in technology. But then I fear, it would not be my job that I would be worried about, but more, computer domination. :-P
P.S. the only thing standing in the way of computers becoming so intelligent is us humans. We are far to dumb to be able to make something like that happen for a long time to come.
"Program testing can be used to show the presence of bugs, but never to show their absence."
<< please vote!! >></div>
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Indeed I did. I fully agree with it.
"Program testing can be used to show the presence of bugs, but never to show their absence."
<< please vote!! >></div>
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...to have some intelligence around where I work.
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