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GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
DRHuff16-Dec-20 11:53
DRHuff16-Dec-20 11:53 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
MKJCP17-Dec-20 2:25
MKJCP17-Dec-20 2:25 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Amarnath S16-Dec-20 13:58
professionalAmarnath S16-Dec-20 13:58 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus17-Dec-20 2:37
mvaraddevus17-Dec-20 2:37 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Amarnath S17-Dec-20 3:34
professionalAmarnath S17-Dec-20 3:34 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Andreas Mertens17-Dec-20 3:33
professionalAndreas Mertens17-Dec-20 3:33 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus17-Dec-20 4:22
mvaraddevus17-Dec-20 4:22 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
PhilipOakley17-Dec-20 4:24
professionalPhilipOakley17-Dec-20 4:24 
Won't you need an initial estimate for Bayes, and then improve that estimate on each result?

You can already guess the 1:20 for the initial roll you don't need to do.. then look to the next roll to get two in a row, (19 chances of failure), then a final 50:50 hope for the last '20' with a 1:10 chance.

Needs a few more unknowns that need determining by measurement and Bayes update. Maybe the dice is weighted? If it was, how much would you pay per throw to give confidence of the weighting?
GeneralThought of the Day Pin
OriginalGriff16-Dec-20 4:57
mveOriginalGriff16-Dec-20 4:57 
GeneralRe: Thought of the Day Pin
W Balboos, GHB16-Dec-20 5:24
W Balboos, GHB16-Dec-20 5:24 
GeneralI'm clever this morning Pin
honey the codewitch16-Dec-20 4:47
mvahoney the codewitch16-Dec-20 4:47 
GeneralRe: I'm clever this morning Pin
PIEBALDconsult16-Dec-20 5:24
mvePIEBALDconsult16-Dec-20 5:24 
GeneralRe: I'm clever this morning Pin
Rick York16-Dec-20 5:30
mveRick York16-Dec-20 5:30 
GeneralRe: I'm clever this morning Pin
trønderen16-Dec-20 5:57
trønderen16-Dec-20 5:57 
GeneralRe: I'm clever this morning Pin
Jörgen Andersson16-Dec-20 6:36
professionalJörgen Andersson16-Dec-20 6:36 
GeneralPythagorean Theorem Day today Pin
Amarnath S16-Dec-20 4:32
professionalAmarnath S16-Dec-20 4:32 
GeneralRe: Pythagorean Theorem Day today Pin
W Balboos, GHB16-Dec-20 4:47
W Balboos, GHB16-Dec-20 4:47 
GeneralRe: Pythagorean Theorem Day today Pin
CodeWraith16-Dec-20 6:41
CodeWraith16-Dec-20 6:41 
GeneralRe: Pythagorean Theorem Day today Pin
Slacker00716-Dec-20 8:00
professionalSlacker00716-Dec-20 8:00 
GeneralRe: Pythagorean Theorem Day today Pin
CodeWraith16-Dec-20 8:09
CodeWraith16-Dec-20 8:09 
GeneralRe: Pythagorean Theorem Day today Pin
trønderen16-Dec-20 14:57
trønderen16-Dec-20 14:57 
GeneralRe: Pythagorean Theorem Day today Pin
DRHuff16-Dec-20 7:26
DRHuff16-Dec-20 7:26 
GeneralRe: Pythagorean Theorem Day today Pin
BabyYoda16-Dec-20 8:25
BabyYoda16-Dec-20 8:25 
GeneralRe: Pythagorean Theorem Day today Pin
jeron116-Dec-20 8:40
jeron116-Dec-20 8:40 
GeneralRe: Pythagorean Theorem Day today Pin
  Forogar  16-Dec-20 9:24
professional  Forogar  16-Dec-20 9:24 

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