Click here to Skip to main content
15,889,820 members

Welcome to the Lounge

   

For discussing anything related to a software developer's life but is not for programming questions. Got a programming question?

The Lounge is rated Safe For Work. If you're about to post something inappropriate for a shared office environment, then don't post it. No ads, no abuse, and no programming questions. Trolling, (political, climate, religious or whatever) will result in your account being removed.

 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
Richard MacCutchan5-Apr-20 0:02
mveRichard MacCutchan5-Apr-20 0:02 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
Daniel Pfeffer5-Apr-20 0:42
professionalDaniel Pfeffer5-Apr-20 0:42 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
DRHuff5-Apr-20 9:37
DRHuff5-Apr-20 9:37 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
Greg Utas5-Apr-20 1:21
professionalGreg Utas5-Apr-20 1:21 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
Sander Rossel5-Apr-20 1:43
professionalSander Rossel5-Apr-20 1:43 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
Greg Utas5-Apr-20 2:15
professionalGreg Utas5-Apr-20 2:15 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
W Balboos, GHB5-Apr-20 6:24
W Balboos, GHB5-Apr-20 6:24 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
kalberts5-Apr-20 7:33
kalberts5-Apr-20 7:33 
Sander Rossel wrote:
Who are mostly wrong and mostly can't be trusted
We have lots of experience with people predicting what the weather will be like the coming winter, or summer. They study how the crows fly, the patterns formed when they throw the coffee grounds on the ground, the stars or whatever.

If these soothsayers are completely wrong nine out of ten years, but hit reasonably close one year, which do we remember - the nine failures, or the one hit?
How many persons can you name who made predictions and failed?

That one that you do know the name of: He failed last year, didn't he? Yes, he once hit the bulls eye so well that they wrote about it in the newspapers - that was, lets see... seventeen year ago, I remember that very well, and he has had a name since then. Even though he has not repeated the feat, he must possess some very special abilities, don't you agree? Everybody does!

Another side is how exact and provable statements the soothsayers make. A few years ago, one of the guys at the Norwegian Meteorological institute played a little prank on the TV audience after reporting the forecast for the next day, he gave an overview over the weather for the summer: There would be some rain and some sun, we must expect wind on the coast and in the mountains, but also calm periods … A couple days later, he was back, telling that he had received much positive feedback on his summer forecast, no negative. But it was nothing but a joke. Of course we will have some sun, some rain, some wind, some calm! He took us through what he had "predicted", pointing out how he had not pinpointed anything neither in time nor region, not given any temperature in degrees, only as "warmer" or "colder", without any point of reference. Similar with rainfall, he predicted "some", and, in periods not fixed, "more". "Wind" can be anything from a soft breeze to a full storm; he had deliberately not used any more exact terms. It was all just loose bs. But, he claimed, his summer forecast would be 100% correct. He had looked through the previous fifty summers, and every one of them fit well within his predictions: There had been sun, rain, wind and calm, as he had predicted.

Weather, pandemics or anything else: Usually, 90% of it phrased so vaguely that it is non-verifiable, or it is natural. If a soothsayer is caught making 5% mistakes, he (or his followers) will point to the other 95%: Look there! That was not wrong! No, but if it was bs throughout, it leaves only the 5%, which was proven to be wrong. We must peel away the bs and that which goes without saying before even starting to consider how much truth and correctness there is in what's being said. For the summer weather forecast, there would be nothing left - but that was certainly intentional.
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
Brady Kelly15-Apr-20 21:05
Brady Kelly15-Apr-20 21:05 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
stoneyowl25-Apr-20 2:50
stoneyowl25-Apr-20 2:50 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
obermd5-Apr-20 8:40
obermd5-Apr-20 8:40 
AnswerRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
ZurdoDev6-Apr-20 1:57
professionalZurdoDev6-Apr-20 1:57 
GeneralRe: How do these people manage to walk and chew gum at the same time? Pin
Daniel Wilianto6-Apr-20 2:47
Daniel Wilianto6-Apr-20 2:47 
GeneralIt gets worse: Birmingham mast hit by fire after fake Covid-19 claims, was not 5G pole - EE confirms Pin
jsc426-Apr-20 5:15
professionaljsc426-Apr-20 5:15 
GeneralOK, this is clever stuff... Pin
Mark_Wallace4-Apr-20 9:06
Mark_Wallace4-Apr-20 9:06 
GeneralRe: OK, this is clever stuff... Pin
MarkTJohnson4-Apr-20 9:47
professionalMarkTJohnson4-Apr-20 9:47 
GeneralRe: OK, this is clever stuff... Pin
Mark_Wallace4-Apr-20 9:56
Mark_Wallace4-Apr-20 9:56 
GeneralRe: OK, this is clever stuff... Pin
Sander Rossel4-Apr-20 10:43
professionalSander Rossel4-Apr-20 10:43 
GeneralRe: OK, this is clever stuff... Pin
Marc Clifton4-Apr-20 13:29
mvaMarc Clifton4-Apr-20 13:29 
GeneralRe: OK, this is clever stuff... Pin
Mark_Wallace4-Apr-20 17:37
Mark_Wallace4-Apr-20 17:37 
GeneralRe: OK, this is clever stuff... Pin
Clumpco5-Apr-20 22:00
Clumpco5-Apr-20 22:00 
GeneralRe: OK, this is clever stuff... Pin
Mark_Wallace6-Apr-20 0:02
Mark_Wallace6-Apr-20 0:02 
QuestionOnline Skills? Pin
MikeRalph4-Apr-20 4:11
MikeRalph4-Apr-20 4:11 
AnswerRe: Online Skills? Pin
Jörgen Andersson4-Apr-20 4:16
professionalJörgen Andersson4-Apr-20 4:16 
AnswerRe: Online Skills? Pin
OriginalGriff4-Apr-20 4:18
mveOriginalGriff4-Apr-20 4:18 

General General    News News    Suggestion Suggestion    Question Question    Bug Bug    Answer Answer    Joke Joke    Praise Praise    Rant Rant    Admin Admin   

Use Ctrl+Left/Right to switch messages, Ctrl+Up/Down to switch threads, Ctrl+Shift+Left/Right to switch pages.