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That's not the way to look at it.
Assuming that the vaccine prevents 95% of all infections, the death rate should drop to 5% of the current rate as well. If the current death rate in the US is 3,000/day, that would be expected to drop to 150/day.
All this assumes that the vaccine prevents disease, but not transmission. If the vaccine also prevents transmission, the death rate should drop even lower - the virus has no legs or wings, and can only be passed from one person to another.
Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows.
-- 6079 Smith W.
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Like most things medical, risk/reward comes into play. So, what is riskier for me, vaccine or trying to isolate? I decided the vaccine is less risky. Got my first shot Sunday, via the VA (over 75). 4 weeks to go for the second.
Need another hat for the second head growing out of my left shoulder. 
If you can keep your head while those about you are losing theirs, perhaps you don't understand the situation.
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theoldfool wrote: Need another hat for the second head growing out of my left shoulder.
Waste Not - Want Not:
See if it's eligible to apply for social security.
| Ravings en masse^ |
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| "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
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I like the way you think.
If you can keep your head while those about you are losing theirs, perhaps you don't understand the situation.
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W∴ Balboos, GHB wrote: 0.8% mortality rate . . . that's overall.
Here in the UK (with the new variant) we're running over 1000 deaths per day, (1600 today) and a couple of weeks ago the measured infection rate was around 50,000. Since by definition the "deaths" figure counts people who had a positive test, they were all included in the daily "positives" count. So that means over 1 in 50 are currently DYING of this disease. That's 2% mortality, not 0.8%. In fact, since we know there are a lot of false positives reported in testing (some are claiming up to 70% are false positives), that means the numbers of people actually catching Covid are somewhere between 40,000 and 15,000 - i.e. the actual mortality rate could be as high as 1 in 15, or nearer 7%. And that's just mortality. Of the 15 or so people I know who've caught it, 3 are dead, 3 are living with long-term significant health issues (leaving them unable to live a "normal" life) and another has mid-term (so far; maybe long-term) pain ("Covid toe"). So only half have fully recovered (and that includes my 10-year old grand-daughter, who was "supposed" not to be vulnerable to it).
I got a spam email the other day about a supposed cover-up of a death following vaccination. We've had over 4.2 million people vaccinated here in the UK, about 6% of the population, but I've yet to hear any reliable reports of a fatal outcome. I'll be having my jab when I get the call!
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Death rates vary by country - in fact, the counting method here, in the US, has actually varied by state - especially those who chose to ignore it all as a hoax. They're paying for being stupid even as we speak - or should I say, the citizens of those states are paying . . . you can be pretty sure the "management" discretely took precautions. To them, keeping business' open was (and still is) more important than saving lives. Besides, you get the symptoms AFTER you've paid your restaurant or gym/spa bill.
The figure I quote was from the OP - which can vary. The multiplier is from a CDC statistic on mortality vs. age group, setting the mid-to-late-20's as "1" . The death rate increases as the hospitals fill.
As a devil's advocate point, remember that many go asymptomatic and don't get tested - escaping the count and otherwise not lowering the rates. But that's not the point. US death toll, now, is around 400,000 - > 1 in 1000 . Daily death tolls haven't been a "low" as yours since November. Morgues are overflowing into refrigerated truck containers.
This is not the flu - this is a killer (and, as I alluded to and you described in some detail, a crippler, as well). We live in an age where morons want to believe it's a conspiracy - a hoax - perhaps a plot by the Illuminati. So they won't recognize it and take the vaccine. I have a solution to someone who won't take the vaccine: "who's next in line . . . .". I see no reason to talk someone into accepting something such as the vaccine that is so coveted and yet in short supply.
Perhaps, now that the vaccine is available, victimhood will shift ever more towards the fools and fanatics - and so their relative proportion in the population will decrease. When it's over, perhaps it will end up Darwinian in overall effect. The reality, however, is that there's immense sadness as the victims, to start with, were primarily blameless. The party goers? For them I've fewer tears to shed. It's like a biological version of drunk driving. Endangering themselves and others around them "because they have rights".
The precise number/mortality rate isn't important. It's that a deadly disease was politicized. Worse, I perceive (a risk of being political) that the current administration here lied about the "backup" vaccines they have in store and is reversing a ban on air traffic from Brazil and South Africa (even worse variant than UK variant) - to exacerbate the problem for the administrations successors.
| Ravings en masse^ |
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| "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
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W∴ Balboos, GHB wrote: Perhaps, now that the vaccine is available, victimhood will shift ever more towards the fools and fanatics - and so their relative proportion in the population will decrease. When it's over, perhaps it will end up Darwinian in overall effect.
we won't be so lucky... 
M.D.V. 
If something has a solution... Why do we have to worry about?. If it has no solution... For what reason do we have to worry about?
Help me to understand what I'm saying, and I'll explain it better to you
Rating helpful answers is nice, but saying thanks can be even nicer.
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 Well said.
"Rock journalism is people who can't write interviewing people who can't talk for people who can't read." Frank Zappa 1980
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Daniel Pfeffer wrote: (hard copy, in triplicate, no carbon paper allowed!)
Out of curiosity: Assuming that carbon paper was allowed - would you have one at hand?
I haven't seen a single sheet of carbon paper for at least twenty years. I think it must be thirty by now!
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trønderen wrote: Out of curiosity: Assuming that carbon paper was allowed - would you have one at hand?
Yes. My father still has some in his stationery drawer.
(He never throws anything away )
Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows.
-- 6079 Smith W.
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My last use of carbon paper was several decades ago: I used it as a detector for when I got the preliminary alignment of "my" CO2-TEA laser going. It was even more sensitive than a fluorescent (heat sensitive) phosphor that the professor bought for the purpose. Also, using the fluorescent screen had a secondary drawback: anything much about the bare minimum laser output smoked the sucker - literally. When that happened to the carbon paper, you just moved to another spot and did your best to avoid fires. Sort of worked, years later, with a flash lamp pumped dye laser.
I'd probably seek some out, again, if I were bringing up lasers again.
| Ravings en masse^ |
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| "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
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I have about 1000 sheets of fanfold carbon in my office. When a trainee programmer in the 80s I tested a program that printed to 3-part line-printer. Foolishly (I lived and learnt) the first run was with the correct stationery. It had an endless loop. The operator phoned me up when the first box of stationery was all used up (only printed one line per page) checking if I really needed it, and how many boxes it would take. He made me come down to the machine room and collect it. Seemed an embarrassing waste to put it in the skip, so I took it home as "I'd need carbon paper sometime". 
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I'd be much more sanguine with the whole thing if the folks mandating vaccines had more sense.
My wife had covid.
But they are forcing her to get the vaccine. Because vaccines trick your body into thinking it was exposed to the virus.
You'd think actually HAVING the virus would be good enough.
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It seems to be different there... Here those had the virus do not get the vaccine - not for now at least...
"The only place where Success comes before Work is in the dictionary." Vidal Sassoon, 1928 - 2012
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So - is this an EU rule or did Germany manage to screw up common sense on its own?
Now - no bragging rights, here: every state has its own rules and some are not even up to the standard of asinine (Florida comes to mind - no surprises there).
| Ravings en masse^ |
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| "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
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I'll be getting the vaccine when it's offered. Maybe with Bill Gates' chip in my arm I'll get a discount on Windows 11...
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Well - no one else ventured an entry to this thread so, out of desperation:
Sugar cone, two scoops of pistachio.
| Ravings en masse^ |
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| "The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
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There's a business opportunity here. Localised anti-noise generator sort of thing. The A400M has active real time anti-noise vibration damping.
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Did not see that one coming...
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So we've built a system that uses Azure, it's a function that validates a payload and pushes it onto a queue, and then another function pulls it off to process it. It's integration, keeping two systems in sync
Worked fine until the client decided to push in 2000 records at once. We find that HTTP functions blow up if they get too many calls. At one point they were sending 20, waiting 30 seconds, sending more and that still blew up.
We've been chasing this for over a month. There's Azure doco on this being limiting code that you can turn off. You cannot. The doco is all over the place. We found it doesn't happen to C# script BUT C# script won't work with queues with sessions.
Today we get one of my co workers to code review it all. He says it all looks good then, off the cuff, says, why does your DI code use injecttransient. Because we're injecting a few lightweight classes and I didn't trust the idea of a singleton across Azure servers being better.
So I make them all singletons, and now the code works. No documentation anywhere that I can find on why that would be.
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yikes - that's a nasty trap - kudos to co-worker btw for asking the question
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